23 Aug Why Fed chief Powell’s rate cut signal lifted our non-tech stocks the most
It was a topsy-turvy week for Wall Street, saved by a big Friday rally. The market was looking at a weekly loss at Thursday’s close. But a day later, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell came through, hinting at possible interest rate cuts ahead. His speech on Friday at the central bank’s economic symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, was just what investors had hoped to hear, and the stocks that can benefit the most led the market. The cyclical, more economically sensitive names were strong with DuPont and Home Depot among the winners Friday and for the week. Defensive groups lagged, which put Bristol Myers Squibb and Costco in the red for the session and the week. While lower rates lift all boats, some of our big tech stocks finished up only slightly Friday but down for the week. Why? Well, the number of rate cuts this year won’t impact names like Meta Platforms or a Microsoft quite as much. Instead, their fortunes are more tied to the boom in artificial intelligence rather than lower borrowing costs. The Dow Jones Industrial Average hit a new all-time high Friday, closing at a record and exceeding its previous record close from early December. The S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite rallied on Friday too, but it was not enough to eclipse last week’s milestones. While the Dow and S & P 500 both advanced overall this week, the tech-heavy Nasdaq posted a weekly loss. “In the end, Powell managed to thread the needle perfectly and, as a result, all three major averages are rallying,” Zev Fima, a portfolio analyst for the CNBC Investing Club, wrote in a Friday analysis. “When we look underneath the hood of the S & P 500, the leading sector is consumer discretionary — and that makes sense because lower rates mean more money discretionary money in consumers’ pockets.” It was a big week for Disney as well. The company finally launched its new ESPN flagship streaming app Thursday, allowing the sports channel to become a standalone streaming service. The product was designed to expand access for existing subscribers and sports fans outside of the traditional streaming bundle to all of ESPN’s content. “We think this will contribute nicely to ESPN’s bottom line over time as engagement grows,” Disney CEO Bob Iger told CNBC on Thursday. Some on Wall Street, however, were concerned when management said that Disney would not break out subscriber numbers for the new ESPN offering. After all, many people view them as a key metric to evaluating the success of streaming platforms. But Iger said that subscriber figures are “irrelevant,” and that Disney is taking more of an “agnostic” strategy instead. “We don’t feel like the way to measure this is immediate, nor do we feel like the way to measure this is in just subscribers,” the CEO added. Three Club names reported quarterly earnings this week. On Monday evening, Palo Alto Networks posted a better-than-expected quarter and issued upside guidance for fiscal year 2026. The cybersecurity company beat estimates across all key metrics, including revenue, adjusted earnings per share (EPS), adjusted free cash flow margin, next-generation security annual recurring revenue (ARR), and total remaining performance obligation (RPO). The upbeat fiscal outlook gave us reassurance about Palo Alto’s planned $25 billion acquisition of CyberArk, which recently sent the stock tanking on worries that the offer was made because the core business was not doing well. That turned out not to be the case. The stock was among our biggest weekly winners with a 5% gain. Club holdings CrowdStrike and Nvidia will both report earnings next Wednesday. Home Depot posted mixed results on Tuesday morning, missing analysts’ estimates on the top and bottom lines. That was a first for the home improvement retailer since 2014. Still, the stock surged after management made it clear during the post-earnings conference call that momentum seen in the quarter was set to continue, barring any unforeseen economic shocks. We’re still confident in key catalysts for Home Depot shares, such as lower rates and its push further into the pro market with big acquisitions. The stock was among our best performers of the week, with a gain of over 3%. It was also among the top of the Dow 30, too. TJX Companies released an impressive quarterly earnings report Wednesday. Management increased the discounted retailer’s full-year outlook, and the company saw strength in all of its operating segments, causing the stock to be one of the top performers in the S & P 500 that session. As a result, the Club raised our TJX price target to $150 apiece from $145, and reiterated a buy-equivalent 1 rating on shares. The stock pulled back modestly Friday but still gained nearly 3% this week. We executed only one trade. The Club purchased more shares of our newest holding, Cisco Systems , on Tuesday morning. The stock experienced a big decline following its earnings release last week — a reaction we saw as overblown. Although the quarter wasn’t clean, Cisco CEO Chuck Robbins did a solid job assuaging investor concerns and breaking down why the security business experienced a revenue miss. The stock finished the week 1.7% higher. (Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust is long DD, HD, BMY, COST, TJX, DIS, META, MSFT, PANW, CRWD, NVDA, CSCO. See here for a full list of the stocks.) As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust’s portfolio. If Jim has talked about a stock on CNBC TV, he waits 72 hours after issuing the trade alert before executing the trade. 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